Monday, February 11, 2008

Burgess- Overrated

Michael Burgess

Burgess is the highest priced Bowman Draft Picks auto as of the moment, going for over $35 dollars. But he's just not that good IMO. First of all, he has put up results in RK and A-. But he K'd 60 times in just 198 at-bats. This would translate to 180+ strikeouts in a regular season, and in A- facing tougher competition his K-rate was 28.4%. Also, Burgess's BABIP (batting average per balls in play) was an unsustainable .422 in Rookie Level play, and a slightly more plausible but still very high .386 BABIP in A-. Worse yet, with just a .320 BABIP in August, Burgess hit just .225 with a .300 SLG. His swing is also long, and it looks like when he struggles, his swing will become even longer.

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